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The matches continue and there's nothing that will stop them, not even the transfer window. Once again, every team is in action midweek followed by a full weekend schedule. There was some squad rotation this past weekend and that'll likely continue to be the case over the next few days. Some teams run their players into the ground and others like to rotate every few days, which is something to keep in mind when lineups release.

LAST WEEK

Making bets two gameweeks in advance is never a good idea, and that's what my recent numbers show. I was riding the Liverpool fade and then they found some form again and I was left with West Ham to win or draw in last week's article. Fading a team like Liverpool is like playing the stock market: you keep riding it while it works but once they got that win against Tottenham, it was time to jump off. Similar to last week, there are a slew of midweek matches before the weekend, but I'll try my best to steer clear of any bear markets.

THE WEEK AHEAD

Before I look at the weekend there are a couple things to monitor Wednesday and Thursday. Manchester City are -129 to win to nil against Burnley, who may not have Chris Wood or Ashley Barnes. Burnley play worse against possession-based teams, which is why they struggled against Chelsea and managed one shot on target in the 5-0 loss against Man City earlier in the season.

This weekend is highlighted by a lot of even matches, with the Liverpool and Manchester City battle overshadowing the rest. That won't stop me from betting Brighton and Burnley in a matchup no one is excited for. I suggested Brighton and Tottenham to draw last week, but the injury to Harry Kane took away the possibility of a stoppage-time equalizer. I'm taking a similar approach in what will be another defensive match Saturday.

Brighton and Burnley played to a scoreless draw earlier in the season when they combined for four shots on target. I think Brighton have the edge, but I'm not comfortable backing them. You can get decent odds on both teams not to score at -134. There have been just four goals scored in total in Brighton's last four matches, while at least one team hasn't scored in five of Burnley's last six. If you think it finishes 1-0 to either side or another scoreless draw, under 1.5 goals is +175. If you want to secure an early winner, a goal won't be scored in both halves is -141. When it's 0-0 at the break, the bet would already be a winner.

Betting on even teams is never easy and that's where I'm between Aston Villa and Arsenal. I like Villa after they won the previous meeting 3-0, but Arsenal are playing well (when they aren't down a man or two) and there isn't much in the odds. You can take Villa on a draw no bet at +100 and you'll be counting on them to win again, which I don't think will happen. You could bet a draw at +260, but I'm not sure that's the best route.

I'd rather take a swing on Newcastle draw no bet (+112) against Southampton. Reading back the last paragraph, it seems like a terrible idea to put money on Newcastle rather than Aston Villa, but this is more of a play against Southampton. I originally had win or draw at -132, but those odds jumped to -180 after the Saints were demolished Tuesday. Southampton aren't the same team and could be playing with more youth team players in central midfield and at center-back.

Instead of looking at sides, there are a couple openings to bet on goals. A few weeks ago, both West Ham and Fulham were playing well in the back, but fatigue has possibly been an issue because neither team rotates much. Prior to midweek, there were at least three goals scored in West Ham's last three matches, while Fulham fell apart defensively in the second half against West Brom. If those things continue, over 2.5 goals at -112 is a reasonable play.

I don't know what's going on with Tottenham, but it's also reasonable to take over 2.5 goals at -143 between them and West Brom. It makes sense to avoid this matchup because of the absence of Kane, but there have been at least three goals scored in seven-straight matches for the Baggies. They can't defend anyone and, on the other end, Tottenham have suddenly hit a wall and Jose Mourinho is changing his formation and back line every match.

I had an idea to take Sheffield United +1 against Chelsea, but they lost the prior matchup 4-1 and I'm still unsure on how to bet on this Thomas Tuchel side. That leads me to the match of the weekend.

Liverpool have seemed to have found their legs a bit and some new defensive signings should help the rest of the way, while Man City have been dominant, as Ederson had seven straight league clean sheets prior to the match at Burnley. This matchup usually features goals, but there's a chance this game is a little more defensive like earlier in the season when it finished 1-1 with five combined shots on goal. Liverpool got an early penalty and City equalized in the 31st minute, but neither side broke through in the final hour. You can get under 2.5 goals at +128 or get even better odds on both teams not to score at +160. That second bet means you'll lose on another 1-1 result, but I'm fine with that. I think this is the type of matchup that will finish 1-0 or 2-0 to either side. Whoever gets the early goal will aim to control possession and hunker down the rest of the way, especially if the first goal comes in the second half.

Man City are rolling, but their schedule has been pretty lackluster in the last month or two and this is a step up in competition. Sure, they're playing well, but the easy opportunities won't be there (hopefully) against Liverpool.

THE BETS

Manchester City to win to nil against Burnley -129

Brighton/Burnley both teams won't score -134

Liverpool/Manchester City both teams won't score +160

Newcastle draw no bet against Southampton +112

Parlay: Tottenham/West Brom over 2.5 goals, Leeds/Crystal Palace over 2.5 goals = +179

We’ve arrived at gameweek 19 in the Premier League and as always seems to be the case at the minute, it’s another action-packed round of matches with no less than 16 Premier League fixtures between Saturday and Thursday.

We are going to focus in on the weekend’s matches and pick out the five best bets to have from some of Saturday and Sunday’s biggest clashes.

Wolves v West Brom

Wolves are yet to really hit their straps this season but will still fancy their chances of getting all three points at 1/2 against a West Brom side who are still get used to life under new manager Sam Allardyce.

Wolves have won just one of their last five in the top flight, but have a better record at home, where they have beaten Chelsea and drawn with Tottenham in their last two matches. It would be no surprise to see them keep a clean sheet, and Wolves to win to nil looks great value at 23/20.

Premier League Betting Tips This Weekend

Best Bet: Wolves to win to nil @ 23/20

Leeds United v Brighton

Leeds have become the Premier League’s favourite underdog this season, and despite going out of the FA Cup against Crawley Town last weekend, Marcelo Bielsa will be desperate to bounce back with a win at EVS against struggling Brighton.

The Yorkshire side have won their last two home matches at Elland Road, including a 5-2 victory over Newcastle United. That makes the over 2.5 goals market look intriguing with a Leeds win at 9/5.

Best Bet: Leeds to win & over 2.5 goals @ 9/5

West Ham v Burnley

This clash of the Clarets has tended to be a one sided affair in recent years with West Ham, 10/11 for victory, winning the last three meetings without conceding.

The Hammers are also on a three-game unbeaten run and picked up one of their best results of the season last time out when beating Everton 1-0 at Goodison Park. It would be a shock to see that good form unravelled here, even with Burnley potentially sparked up under new ownership.

Best Bet: West Ham to win @ 10/11

Leicester City v Southampton

Few would have thought that both these sides would have been battling it out for a Champions League place this season, but that is the case heading into Sunday’s tie with Leicester City in 3^rd and Southampton only three points behind them in 6^th.

Premier League Betting This Weekend Results

However, the Foxes have stuttered slightly in recent weeks and after drawing with Manchester United and Crystal Palace, only just edged past a bottom-half Newcastle United 2-1.

Their opponents Southampton, look a much tougher opposition to beat this year, and will be buoyed by their recent victory against champions Liverpool.

They also got the better of the last meeting with Leicester City at the King Power Stadium, when winning 2-1 in January 2020, thanks to a late winner from Danny Ings, who is now 40/1 to be the Premier League’s top scorer this season.

A Southampton win at 3/1 could well be on the cards again, which makes it one to watch on any football streaming platform this Sunday, with Ings scoring in a Southampton victory being the bet of the day at odds of 10/3.

Best Bet: Southampton to win and Danny Ings to score @ 10/3

Liverpool v Manchester United

They don’t come any bigger in the Premier League than Liverpool against Manchester United, and even more so when United have a chance to lay down a marker in the title race with victory.

For that reason, it’s likely to be a cagey affair, especially after Liverpool slipped up at Southampton last time. A draw looks a safe bet at 3/1 , and has actually happened in six of the last nine meetings, including two of the last three at Anfield.

Premier League Betting This Weekend 2020

Best Bet: Draw @ 3/1